USDA’s February 2024 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report raised broiler production for the first quarter on the expectations of heavier bird weights.

Below are key takeaways from the report for industry-relevant sectors:

Chicken:  Broiler production is raised for the first quarter on expectations of heavier bird weights. Broiler exports are reduced on higher U.S. prices and weaker import demand. First-half broiler prices are projected to be higher based on current prices.

Corn:  This month’s 2023/24 U.S. corn outlook is for lower food, seed, and industrial use and larger ending stocks. Corn used for glucose and dextrose is reduced to 10 million bushels based on indicated usage to date. With no other use changes, U.S. corn ending stocks are up 10 million bushels from last month. The season-average corn price producers receive is unchanged at $4.80 per bushel.

Soybean:  This month’s 2023/24 U.S. soybean outlook is for lower soybean exports and higher ending stocks. Soybean exports are forecast at 1.72 billion bushels, down 35 million from last month, reflecting the slow pace of shipments through January and strong competition with Brazil. With crush unchanged, ending stocks are forecast at 315 million bushels, up 35 million. The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2023/24 is forecast at $12.65 per bushel, down $0.10 from last month. The soybean meal price is forecast to remain unchanged at $380 per short ton. The soybean oil price is forecast at 51 cents per pound, down three cents.

The full WASDE report can be found here.

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FEED GRAINS 2021-2   2022-3 Est. 2023-4 Proj. 2023-4 Proj.
Jan Feb
Million Acres
Area Planted 105.5 100 107.5 107.5
Area Harvested  94.1 86.6 96 96
Metric Tons
Yield per Harvested Acre 4.21 4.11 4.19 4.19
Million Metric Tons
Beginning Stocks 34 37.5 37.1 37.1
Production 396 356.1 402.6 402.6
Imports 2.3 2.9 2.4 2.3
    Supply, Total 432.4 396.5 442.1 442
Feed and Residual 147.4 142.3 147.6 147.5
Food, Seed & Industrial 177 172.1 177.5 177
    Domestic, Total 324.4 314.4 325.1 324.6
Exports 70.5 45 59.3 59.5
    Use, Total 394.9 359.4 384.4 384.1
Ending Stocks 37.5 37.1 57.7 58

 

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Year and Quarter U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production
(Million Pounds)
U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products
(Cents/Lbs.)
2022 Annual 46206 140.5
2023 I 11549 124.5
II 11545 139.3
III 11679 115.3
IV 11610 118.5
Annual
Jan Est. 46423 124.4
Feb Est. 46383 124.4
2024 I* 11550 128
II* 11675 131
III* 11850 125
IV* 11700 125
Annual
Jan Proj. 46675 126
Feb Proj. 46775 127

 

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U.S. Meat Supply & Use
(Broilers in Millions per Pound)
Start
Stocks
Prod. Imports Total
Supply
Exports Ending
Stocks
Total
Use
Per
Capita
2022 705 45711 176 46593 7290 892 38411 98.9
2023 Est. Jan 892 45926 130 46948 7255 850 38844 99.5
Feb 892 45886 131 46910 7265 845 38800 99.4
2024 Proj. Jan 850 46176 180 47206 7275 860 39071 99.6
Feb 845 46275 215 47334 7215 860 39259 100.1