USDA’s July World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report showed that the total U.S. red meat and poultry production forecast for 2023 raised from last month on higher forecasts for beef, broilers, and turkey production.

Corn: Corn beginning stocks are lowered 50 million bushels, as greater feed and residual use for 2022/23 more than offsets reductions in corn used for ethanol and exports. Corn production for 2023/24 is forecast up 55 million bushels as greater planted and harvested area from the June 30 Acreage report is partially offset by a 4.0-bushel reduction in yield to 177.5 bushels per acre. With supply rising fractionally and use unchanged, ending stocks are up 5 million bushels. The season-average farm price received by producers is unchanged at $4.80 per bushel.

Soybeans: Soybean production is projected at 4.3 billion bushels, down 210 million on lower harvested area. Harvested area, forecast at 83.5 million acres in the June 30 Acreage report, is down 4.0 million from last month. The soybean yield forecast is unchanged at 52.0 bushels per acre. Soybean crush is reduced 10 million bushels reflecting a lower soybean meal domestic disappearance forecast. With lower supplies only partly offset by reduced use, ending stocks for 2023/24 are projected at 300 million bushels, down 50 million from last month. The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2023/24 is forecast at $12.40 per bushel, up $0.30 from last month. The soybean meal price is projected at $375.00 per short ton, up $10.00. The soybean oil price forecast of 60.0 cents per pound is up 2 cents.

The total U.S. red meat and poultry production forecast for 2023 is raised from last month on higher forecast beef, broiler, and turkey production. Broiler production is raised on slaughter data for the second quarter. Poultry and egg forecasts are unchanged from last month.

The full WASDE report can be found here.

Further detailed information can be found in the charts below.

 

FEED GRAINS 2021/22 2022/23 Est. 2023/24 Proj. 2023/24 Proj.
Jun Jul
Million Acres
Area Planted 105.8 100.4 103.6 * 106.8 *
Area Harvested  94.4 87.1 92.6 * 95.6 *
Metric Tons
Yield per Harvested Acre 4.21 4.11 4.34 4.23
Million Metric Tons
Beginning Stocks 34 37.6 39.4 38
Production 397.5 358.2 401.7 404.2
Imports 2.3 2.6 2.3 2.3
    Supply, Total 433.8 398.3 443.5 444.5
Feed and Residual 148.6 141.6 147.3 147.6
Food, Seed & Industrial 177.1 174.4 176.5 176.6
    Domestic, Total 325.7 316.1 323.7 324.2
Exports 70.5 44.3 59.4 59.9
    Use, Total 396.2 360.3 383.1 384.1
Ending Stocks 37.6 38 60.4 60.3

 

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Year and Quarter
(Broilers)
U.S. Quarterly Animal Production Production U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products
Million Cents/lb.
2022 III 11896 136.1
IV 11861 123.5
Annual 46206 140.5
2023 I 11549 124.5
II 11500 139.3
III* 12150 125
IV* 11900 125
Annual
Jun Proj. 46899 130.1
Jul Proj. 47099 128.4
2024 I* 11760 127
II* 11760 129
Annual
Jun Proj. 47820 129
Jul Proj. 47820 129

 

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Meat Supply and Use
(Broilers in Millions per Pound)
Start
Stocks
Prod. Imports Total
Supply
Exports Ending
Stocks
Total
Use
Per
Capita
2022 705 45711 176 46593 7290 892 38411 98.9
2023 Proj. Jun 892 46397 70 47360 7383 880 39097 100.1
Jul 892 46595 85 47572 7383 870 39320 100.7
2024 Proj. Jun 880 47308 40 48228 7570 900 39758 101.2
Jul 870 47308 84 48262 7570 900 39792 101.3